Thursday, August 7, 2014

[Updated] The Bet To End All Bets! (probably not though)


By Dan Pua

Some months ago, I don't even remember when, Bobgar and I made a bet over which movie was going to make more money: the movie with the talking apes or the movie with the talking raccoon and tree? Or rather...



Bobgar went with Apes and the Marvel Zombie that I am, I went with GotG. Be sure to listen to our upcoming Boob Toob episode where we discuss these movies with our good friend and fellow Earth 2 Network bro Lawrence Rosales. Thanks by the way to Box Office Mojo since I'll be referring to them for all the figures.

As of Friday, 8 August 2014, 11am Australian Eastern Standard time (some time Thursday evening/night for US peeps) GotG has made $126,759,442 and there's still one day to go in its first week. Apes made $102,952,844 in its first week. GotG also made more monies during the first weekend by ooga chaka-ing itself to $94.3m vs the $72.6m that Apes in its opening weekend. So talking raccoon and tree wins the first weekend and the first week.

But there was another component to the bet. Bobgar predicted that GotG will open big and have a huge drop in its second week. Fair enough, GotG is a bit of an unknown quantity and who wants to watch a superhero sci-fi movie, right? Even I couldn't be sure that this wasn't going to happen.

Apes made $52.7m in its second week, a 48.8% drop from the first week. Not bad. Assuming GotG passes the $130m mark, it will have to drop by about 60% in its second week to match the $52.7m second week haul of Apes. Or 80% (i.e. make about $25m) if it is to match the week 1 and 2 total of Apes ($155.7m).



Dawn of the Planet of the Apes
Production budget - $170,000,000
Opening weekend - $72,611,427
Week 1 - $102,952,844
Week 2 - $52,735,785

Guardians of the Galaxy
Production budget - $170,000,000
Opening weekend - $94,320,883
Week 1 - Over $126,759,442 (one day left in the week)
Week 2 - ?

If I remember, I'll update this write up next week with 2nd week figures. In the meantime, check out Bobgar's Koba!



UPDATE: August 18, 2014

GotG has beaten Apes' total domestic haul. GotG has $222.3m while Apes is at $201.8m. GotG earned $63.2m in its second week, a 53% drop but still higher than Apes' $52.7m. So if we're only talking US numbers, looks like I won the bet.

Here's the thing though: Apes is doing really well in foreign markets, having earned $334.8m so far. At the moment, GotG is at $196.4m. So if we're taking those figures into account, Bobgar may have me beat (for now).

While I'm here, check out these failed Apes sequel names. Also Groot and his new shirt!

Fun stuff! Gotta do this again next year. Perhaps we'll bet on...


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